{"id":6893,"date":"2025-10-20T15:51:01","date_gmt":"2025-10-20T15:51:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.jubi24.com\/?p=6893"},"modified":"2025-10-20T15:51:02","modified_gmt":"2025-10-20T15:51:02","slug":"tropical-storm-melissa-may-form-in-the-caribbean-this-week","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.jubi24.com\/?p=6893","title":{"rendered":"Tropical Storm Melissa May Form In The Caribbean This Week"},"content":{"rendered":"


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Future Melissa? Development Odds Increasing<\/p>\n

Tropical Storm Melissa may develop in the Caribbean Sea sometime later this week, but its future beyond that is unclear, with several scenarios possible.<\/p>\n

As we head into late October, the tropics aren\u2019t ready to settle down quite yet.<\/p>\n

The National Hurricane Center is watching an area in the Caribbean Sea, that will likely develop, possibly as soon as mid-week. And this is a long-lived saga we’ll likely deal with well into next week.<\/p>\n

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Possible NHC Development Area(s)<\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Development In Caribbean<\/h2>\n

A disturbance known as a tropical wave<\/a> is currently moving westward across the eastern Caribbean Sea. It’s being referred to by the National Hurricane Center as Invest 98L, a way for the NHC to identify systems that might develop, allowing for higher-resolution computer models to be run on the disturbance.<\/p>\n

(MORE: <\/strong>What Is An Invest?<\/strong><\/a>)<\/p>\n

There is a large area of showers and thunderstorms with this disturbance, with winds from 30 to 40 mph along its north and east flanks.<\/p>\n

But the tropical wave’s quick forward speed and winds above the surface are creating wind shear that’s keeping the system from developing quicker at the moment.<\/p>\n

\"Areas
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Wind Shear, Potential NHC Development Area<\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

However, later this week, the disturbance should slow down, and that’s when tropical development becomes more likely.<\/p>\n

With the most abundant supply of warm, deep water anywhere in the Atlantic Basin potentially serving as fuel, let’s take a look at the potential scenarios for “future Melissa”.<\/p>\n

\"This
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Ocean Heat Content<\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Possible Scenarios<\/h2>\n

For now, there appear to be three potential outcomes for what we expect to be Melissa:<\/p>\n