THAT AS WELL. MEGHAN MOSLEY KOCO FIVE NEWS. LET’S TURN TO WEATHER NOW. WE DO HAVE STORM CHANCES FOR YOU AS WE HEAD INTO THE WEEKEND. CHIEF METEOROLOGIST DAMON LANE HERE TO BREAK IT DOWN. DAMON. I KNOW WE ALSO HAVE OUR CHASERS OUT RIGHT NOW. WE CERTAINLY DO, BECAUSE THERE’S STILL A CHANCE FOR SOME OF THESE STORMS AND SHOWERS TO COME INTO WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND PRODUCE SOME STRONG WINDS. SO WE HAVE AMANDA IN FAIRVIEW. THERE’S MICHAEL JUST EAST OF ELK CITY. AND THEN WE HAVE NICK RIGHT NOW DOWN IN HOBART, AND WE ARE WATCHING THESE LITTLE BLIPS THAT YOU SEE ON THE RADAR RIGHT NOW. I KNOW THEY DON’T LOOK LIKE A WHOLE LOT, AND THEY REALLY AREN’T DOING A WHOLE LOT YET. BUT AS WE GO INTO THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS, WE ARE GOING TO WATCH IT. RIGHT NOW, THE METRO, WE’RE OKAY. SO SEE THESE STORMS WAY OUT IN THE PANHANDLE. THESE HAVE BEEN PRODUCING A LOT OF LIGHTNING, AS STORMS TYPICALLY DO. THEY’RE NOT ALL THAT INTENSE. AND SO THERE HAVE BEEN A TREMENDOUS AMOUNT OF FIRES THAT HAVE BEEN BURNING IN BETWEEN LUBBOCK AND AMARILLO. ALSO SOUTH OF BOISE CITY, ALSO ON THE OKLAHOMA KANSAS BORDER FROM YESTERDAY AND TODAY. SO WE ARE GOING TO HAVE TO WATCH FOR SOME OF THESE STORMS OR SOME OF THESE SHOWERS. IF THERE’S AN ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKE, IT COULD PRODUCE A FIRE BECAUSE IT HAS BEEN SO DRY OUT ACROSS WESTERN OKLAHOMA THAT THINGS JUST HAVEN’T CLEANED UP THE WAY THAT THEY NORMALLY DO THIS TIME OF THE YEAR. SO LET ME SHOW YOU THE LATEST RISK THAT WE HAVE OUT THERE FOR THIS EVENING. WHAT WE’RE WORKING WITH HERE, IT’S MARGINAL FOR OKC. IT PICKS UP OUT ACROSS NORTHWEST. OUR MAIN THREAT TONIGHT WILL BE WINDS 5060 UP TO 70MPH. AND THE STRONGEST OF STORMS THERE. SO VISIBLE SATELLITE DOES SHOW SOME ATTEMPTS HERE. SOME SHOWERS TRYING TO GO UP. BUT IT IS SO DRY AT THE LOWER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE THAT YOU’RE GOING TO LOOK AT THE RADAR THIS EVENING AND SAY, OH, IT DOESN’T REALLY LOOK ALL THAT BAD. BUT UNDERNEATH OF THOSE SHOWERS AND STORMS, THERE WILL BE SOME STRONG WINDS. WE’LL WATCH THIS ONE BY CEILING AT ABOUT SEVEN OUT BY ELK CITY AROUND SEVEN. AND THEN AS THIS ACTIVITY BEGINS TO DIMINISH, THIS RIGHT HERE, THIS LITTLE LIGHT GREEN STRETCH RUNS FROM HOBART UP TO WATONGA. THIS IS LIKELY GOING TO BE WHAT WE CALL A HEAT BURST RIGHT AROUND 10:00. AND AS THAT HAPPENS, THE WINDS CAN GET REALLY STRONG UP TO 50 AND 60MPH. TEMPERATURES CAN ALSO SPIKE REALLY FAST, BUT THERE’S HARDLY ANY RAIN FALLING OUT OF THE SKY. SO WE NEED THAT. WE NEED THAT RAIN TO COME IN AND COOL US DOWN. LOOK HOW HOT WE ARE RIGHT NOW. 91 IN OKLAHOMA CITY. THIS IS THE HOTTEST WE’VE BEEN ALL DAY LONG. 106 RIGHT NOW FROM MANGUM TO ALTUS. THIS IS WHY WE NEED RAIN TO NOT MAKE IT FEEL LIKE JULY AND AUGUST IN THE MIDDLE OF MAY. BUT THAT’S WHAT WE’RE WORKING WITH RIGHT NOW. LOWS TONIGHT ARE STILL VERY MILD, ONLY DOWN TO AROUND 70 DEGREES FOR TOMORROW. 80S AND 90S. WE SHOULD BE IN THE 70S THIS TIME OF YEAR FOR HIGHS. WE’RE WELL ABOVE THAT. SO THE CHANCE FOR STORMS TOMORROW IS PRETTY LOW. IT’S A MARGINAL RISK FOR WESTERN OKLAHOMA, VERY SIMILAR TO WHAT WE’RE DEALING WITH FOR TODAY. WIND INDEX RIGHT NOW SITTING AT ABOUT A ABOUT 50 TO 60 MILE AN HOUR WIND THREAT OUT ACROSS WEST, 20% CHANCE OF STORMS BEST, NOTHING GREATER THAN THAT. TOMORROW IS GOING TO BE PRETTY DRY. THEN AS WE GO INTO SUNDAY, THAT’S A SLIGHT RISK FROM ALVA BUFFALO WOODWARD DOWN TO ELK CITY. SURROUNDING THAT WILL BE A MARGINAL RISK. RIGHT NOW, OUR TORNADO INDEX, IT’S LOW, BUT WE’LL HAVE TO WATCH IT, ESPECIALLY ACROSS NORTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA. SOME OF THE NEWEST DATA COMING IN SHOWS AN ISOLATED STORM TRYING TO GO UP BETWEEN BUFFALO, WOODWARD AND ALVA AROUND 5:00 AND THEN QUICKLY RUNS INTO KANSAS BY SEVEN. THAT’S ABOUT IT. BUT MONDAY HAS MY ATTENTION AND I HOPE IT HAS YOUR ATTENTION AS WELL, BECAUSE THERE’S ALREADY AN ENHANCED RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER FROM KINGFISHER STILLWATER PONCA CITY METRO SOUTH. THAT’S A SLIGHT RISK BETWEEN 3 AND 10. I ALREADY HAVE OUR TORNADO INDEX AT A SIX IN NORTHERN OKLAHOMA. THAT’S A MODERATE CHANCE OF A TORNADO INDEX OUT OF FOUR RIGHT NOW. IT’S AN ELEVATED CHANCE ACROSS THE METRO AND WAY OUT TO THE WEST. MONDAY CERTAINLY HAS A VERY HIGH CEILING FOR IT, SO WE WILL HAVE TO WATCH IT. SO FOR THE WEEKEND STORM CHANCES, VERY LOW TORNADO RISK PEAKS ON MONDAY. MOORE STORM CHANCES CONTINUE FOR MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND, WHICH IS NEXT WEEK. AND I’VE HAD A LOT OF Y’ALL MESSAGE ME YOU’RE DOING THINGS OUTDOORS, BUT JUST KNOW THAT WE ARE GOING TO HAVE MORE STORMS ON THE WAY. SO RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER CONTINUES UNTIL EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. WE’LL GET A BREAK FROM THE SEVERE WEATHER CHANCES WITH THAT NORTHERLY WIND IN HERE. AND THEN WE’LL WATCH FOR MORE STORMS. WIDESPREAD, M
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TIMELINE: Storms with damaging winds possible Friday; severe weather risk this weekend
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Updated: 5:39 PM CDT May 15, 2026
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The string of alert days continues as there's another risk of severe weather on Friday, and more storms are expected through the weekend and into the beginning of next week. >> Go to the KOCO weather page | Get KOCO on the Go | Subscribe to KOCO 5's YouTube channel | Sign up for KOCO 5’s Morning NewsletterKOCO 5 Meteorologist Joseph Neubauer shows what you need to know. Scroll down to learn more. Friday Storm Risk A level 2 slight risk has been issued for far northwestern Oklahoma, and there's a level 1 marginal risk in western and central Oklahoma. The level 2 risk zone includes areas near Seiling, Woodward, Alva, Buffalo, Beaver, and Guymon. Areas in the level 1 risk zone include the OKC metro, Duncan, Lawton, Altus, Hollis, Hobart, Elk City, Clinton, Hinton, El Reno, Cheyenne, Kingfisher, Enid, Perry, Ponca City, and Cherokee. Storms could produce damaging 60-70 mph winds in the level 1 risk zone. There's also a chance for isolated and scattered 70-80 mph wind gusts in the level 2 risk zone. There is not a tornado risk with Friday's storms. Storms are going to be very scattered and isolated during the late afternoon and evening. We should be clear after 11 p.m. and midnight. Saturday Storm Risk The severe weather risk is in western Oklahoma on Saturday, and it does not include the OKC metro. A level 1 marginal risk has been issued for areas near Altus, Hollis, Hobart, Elk City, Clinton, Hinton, Cheyenne, Seiling, Woodward, Cherokee, Alva, Buffalo, and Beaver as well as west of Lawton, Chickasha, El Reno, Kingfisher, and Enid. The cap is expected to be strong, and it's a conditional day on Saturday. So, storms would be pretty spotty during the afternoon and evening and probably stay in Kansas. Sunday Storm Risk The storm risk ramps up on Sunday, with a level 2 slight risk in northern and central Oklahoma. Areas included in the risk zone are the OKC metro, Woodward, Seiling, Alva, Cherokee, Ponca City, Perry, Stillwater, Enid, Hinton, Kingfisher, and El Reno. There's also a level 1 marginal risk for the rest of Oklahoma except for far southeastern Oklahoma and the western part of the Panhandle. These storms could produce bigger hail and a tornado risk. KOCO 5 First Alert Weather Team, led by Chief Meteorologist Damon Lane, has been certified by WeatheRate as providing the Most Accurate Forecast in Oklahoma City for 14 consecutive years. This outstanding achievement underscores KOCO 5's unwavering dedication to delivering reliable weather forecasts to viewers.
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The string of alert days continues as there's another risk of severe weather on Friday, and more storms are expected through the weekend and into the beginning of next week.
> Go to the KOCO weather page | Get KOCO on the Go | Subscribe to KOCO 5’s YouTube channel | Sign up for KOCO 5’s Morning Newsletter
KOCO 5 Meteorologist Joseph Neubauer shows what you need to know. Scroll down to learn more.
Friday Storm Risk
A level 2 slight risk has been issued for far northwestern Oklahoma, and there’s a level 1 marginal risk in western and central Oklahoma.
The level 2 risk zone includes areas near Seiling, Woodward, Alva, Buffalo, Beaver, and Guymon. Areas in the level 1 risk zone include the OKC metro, Duncan, Lawton, Altus, Hollis, Hobart, Elk City, Clinton, Hinton, El Reno, Cheyenne, Kingfisher, Enid, Perry, Ponca City, and Cherokee.
Storms could produce damaging 60-70 mph winds in the level 1 risk zone. There’s also a chance for isolated and scattered 70-80 mph wind gusts in the level 2 risk zone.
There is not a tornado risk with Friday’s storms.
Storms are going to be very scattered and isolated during the late afternoon and evening. We should be clear after 11 p.m. and midnight.
Saturday Storm Risk
The severe weather risk is in western Oklahoma on Saturday, and it does not include the OKC metro.
A level 1 marginal risk has been issued for areas near Altus, Hollis, Hobart, Elk City, Clinton, Hinton, Cheyenne, Seiling, Woodward, Cherokee, Alva, Buffalo, and Beaver as well as west of Lawton, Chickasha, El Reno, Kingfisher, and Enid.
The cap is expected to be strong, and it’s a conditional day on Saturday. So, storms would be pretty spotty during the afternoon and evening and probably stay in Kansas.
Sunday Storm Risk
The storm risk ramps up on Sunday, with a level 2 slight risk in northern and central Oklahoma. Areas included in the risk zone are the OKC metro, Woodward, Seiling, Alva, Cherokee, Ponca City, Perry, Stillwater, Enid, Hinton, Kingfisher, and El Reno.
There’s also a level 1 marginal risk for the rest of Oklahoma except for far southeastern Oklahoma and the western part of the Panhandle.
These storms could produce bigger hail and a tornado risk.
KOCO 5 First Alert Weather Team, led by Chief Meteorologist Damon Lane, has been certified by WeatheRate as providing the Most Accurate Forecast in Oklahoma City for 14 consecutive years. This outstanding achievement underscores KOCO 5’s unwavering dedication to delivering reliable weather forecasts to viewers.
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